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Lately, I?ve heard a lot of VCs bringing up how much of their industry is going out of business. As both a member of the press and an entrepreneur, it?s hard for me to feel much pity or see it as some great sign of Darwinian health. Mostly, because I?ve now been writing about a venture capital shakeout since the year after I arrived in Silicon Valley.
This might be the slowest industry reckoning the capitalist world has ever seen. Seriously, Godot got here quicker.
It occurs to me that if I?m going to complain about the pivots and acqui-hires and the overall decrease of actual failure in Silicon Valley, I should start with the part of the Valley that funds it all.
By my count we are more than a decade now into a ?shake-out? in venture capital dating back to the excesses of the dot com crash. Yes, it is more real than theoretical after the last few years. Firms have started to go out of business and the concentration of limited partner money is going to a smaller and smaller set of firms. There was one particular quarter last year when just seven funds raised 80 percent of the venture capital.
But that quarter was mostly an anomaly and considering 95 percent of the returns still come from 5 percent of the deals, it seems the VCs are still getting a better deal than their investors.
As I?ve written before, there are precious few firms who can raise as much money as they want. Everyone else is scrapping. But the shocker to me has been how many firms people keep whispering are DOA that somehow find an LP somewhere in the world willing to give them another shot.
There are two reasons why. The first is that there is just a ton of institutional wealth that has been created in the world. First, in the US towards the end of the 20th century, and increasingly, in emerging markets. When nearly every institutional fund wants to put a tiny percentage of its wealth in the basket of ?alternative assets? like venture capital, that just adds up to more money than the industry can really put to work in good ways ? even at current levels.
The second reason is this chart:

Cambridge Associates, which tracks venture capital liquidity, released its most recent numbers last week and showed that, yep, results are down of late. But their investors measure them in ten-year increments, because the companies they fund take a while to mature and exit. And it turns out that math is almost always forgiving.
For a long time the ten-year index still included the heady times of 1999 and early 2000, so they were artificially bolstered up. Those have only recently fallen out ? about the time the bulk of this actual shakeout really started.
But now, Cambridge proclaims that the anemic post-bubble years of 2001 and 2002 are falling off the index as well. That?s causing the aggregate long term numbers to rise again. Are they the best venture capital has ever seen? Not at all. But they?re better than the market average.
And that?s the thing. We can all talk about ?venture style returns,? and most people mean making 10 times your cash. But as long as that?s the dreamy upside, and the downside is beating the market, investors still keep putting cash in.?Even if ? in practice ? most of those firms aren?t beating the market. Many aren?t returning capital at all. Everyone is just a hit away from dumb money looking brilliant.
In a perfect world, only the firms actually delivering would raise another round. But those good firms are all over-booked. So the rest of the industry?s cash goes to the rest or doesn?t invest.
VCs acutely feel like a shakeout is real and severe. But that?s largely because they?ve been in venture capital too long. It?s an insanely forgiving business, even if you?re on the losing end. Firms don?t just close down the way a company does. Each fund is a ten-year investment cycle that doesn?t end until the last deal has gone public, sold or gone under. They can limp along seemingly infinitely.
Several VCs I?ve talked to have pointed out that out of some 700 funds that are technically listed as doing business in the US, only 97 of them have invested at least $1 million for four straight quarters in the room. 700 down to 97 is certainly extreme.
But honestly, can you even name 97 venture firms? I write about this stuff for a living and I can maybe name 20 off the top of my head. Remember: This is a home run business and 95 percent of the returns are coming from 5 percent of the deals. Let?s be generous and say, at least fifty of those 97 can be putting up what LPs consider venture style numbers.
Clearly 600 firms would disagree with me that a venture shakeout hasn?t been severe enough. I don?t have a lot of pity for them. Anyone going under in this business has been given at least 10 years of second chances while their portfolio companies suffer far harsher economic realities.
[Illustration by Hallie Bateman]
Source: http://pandodaily.com/2012/11/09/that-venture-capital-shakeout-is-still-taking-way-too-long/
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Source: http://news.yahoo.com/tim-robbins-direct-star-man-under-175522602.html
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NBC's Brian Williams and NBC's Andrea Mitchell report on the resignation of well-regarded former General David Petraeus from the CIA after he admitted an affair.
By Andrea Mitchell and Robert Windrem, NBC News
CIA Director David Petraeus resigned Friday, citing an extramarital affair and "extremely poor judgment."
As first reported by NBC News, Petraeus disclosed the affair in a letter released to the CIA work force on Friday afternoon, writing: "Such behavior is unacceptable, both as a husband and as the leader of an organization such as ours."
Petraeus told President Barack Obama of his affair and offered his resignation during a meeting Thursday, a senior official told NBC News.?
In a statement, Obama said he accepted Petraeus?s resignation on Friday.
?By any measure, through his lifetime of service, David Petraeus has made our country safer and stronger,? Obama said.
Petraeus'?biographer,?Paula Broadwell, is under FBI investigation for improperly trying to access his email and possibly gaining access to classified information, law enforcement officials told NBC News on Friday. She is the author of Petraeus' biography, "All In." Broadwell?had extensive access to Petraeus in Afghanistan and has given numerous television interviews speaking about him.
Broadwell could not be reached by NBC News for comment.?
David Petraeus a battlefield 'hero' and savvy Washington insider
Petraeus himself is not under investigation.
Petraeus was appointed CIA director in April 2011, replacing Leon Panetta, who moved to the Pentagon to become defense secretary.
Petraeus served as commander of the war in Afghanistan in 2010-2011. Before that, he served as commander of the U.S. Central Command and as the commanding general of U.S. forces in Iraq.?Because of those roles, he was seen as?bringing a ?customer?s eye? to the intelligence job.?
Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, told NBC News that Petraeus?s personal mistake should not have led to his departure.
?I would have stood up for him,? Feinstein said in response to his indiscretion. ?I wanted him to continue. He was good, he loved the work, and he had a command of intelligence issues second to none.?

Mandel Ngan / AFP - Getty Images file
General David Petraeus, center, takes the oath of office as the next director of the CIA from Vice President Joe Biden, right, as Petraeus's wife, Holly, watches on Sept. 6, 2011 during a ceremony at the Roosevelt Room of the White House in Washington, D.C.
Feinstein said she respects Obama?s decision to accept the Petraeus resignation, but wishes he hadn?t.
She also said Petraeus will not need to testify at hearings she is chairing next week into the attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya. Ambassador Christopher Stevens and three other Americans were killed in the attack.
Rep. Peter King, R-NY, chairman of the House Committee on Homeland Security, said he regrets Petraeus?s resignation. ?General Petraeus is one of America?s most outstanding and distinguished military leaders and a true American patriot,? King said in a statement.
Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., said it was Petraus?s ?genius? that was responsible ?for the success of the surge in Iraq."
?General David Petraeus will stand in the ranks of America?s greatest military heroes,? McCain said in a statement.
Multiple sources tell NBC News that Mike Morrell, the deputy CIA director and a longtime CIA officer, would likely be offered the job as acting director, with the understanding that he may be elevated to the job permanently.
That's how George Tenet got the job, first as deputy director in July 1995, then acting director following the resignation of John Deutch in December 1996 and finally as director in July 1997, staying on in the Bush administration.
Morrell is a longtime CIA analyst and was an eyewitness to two of the most momentous events in recent U.S. history. He was traveling with President George W. Bush on Sept. 11, 2001, as the president's briefer, and was in the Situation Room on May 1, 2011, as deputy CIA Director, when Navy SEALs killed Osama bin Laden.
Morell began his agency career as an analyst tracking international energy issues and subsequently worked for 14 years as an analyst and manager on East Asia. In 1999, he was appointed director of the Office of Asian Pacific and Latin American Analysis. He also has served as a presidential briefer, as chief of the staff that produces the president's daily briefing, and as an executive assistant to CIA Director George J. Tenet.
From 2003 until 2006, he served overseas. Upon his return, he was briefly deputy director for intelligence at the National Counterterrorism Center before being asked to become associate deputy director at the CIA.
?
NBC's Andrea Mitchell reports on the resignation of CIA Director David Petraeus after citing an extra-marital affair and apologizing for poor judgment.
Here is the full text of Petraeus' letter:
HEADQUARTERS Central Intelligence Agency
9 November 2012
Yesterday afternoon, I went to the White House and asked the President to be allowed, for personal reasons, to resign from my position as D/CIA. ?After being married for over 37 years, I showed extremely poor judgment by engaging in an extramarital affair. ?Such behavior is unacceptable, both as a husband and as the leader of an organization such as ours. ?This afternoon, the President graciously accepted my resignation.As I depart Langley, I want you to know that it has been the greatest of privileges to have served with you, the officers of our Nation's Silent Service, a work force that is truly exceptional in every regard. ?Indeed, you did extraordinary work on a host of critical missions during my time as director, and I am deeply grateful to you for that.
Teddy Roosevelt once observed that life's greatest gift is the opportunity to work hard at work worth doing. ?I will always treasure my opportunity to have done that with you and I will always regret the circumstances that brought that work with you to an end.
Thank you for your extraordinary service to our country, and best wishes for continued success in the important endeavors that lie ahead for our country and our Agency.With admiration and appreciation,
David H. Petraeus
Andrea Mitchell is NBC News? chief foreign affairs correspondent. Robert Windrem is NBC News? senior investigative producer. NBC News Chief White House Correspondent Chuck Todd contributed to this report.
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Therapeutic massage Any where aided by the Rumble Roller ? You can actually obtain a massage wherever with the Rumble Roller. One of many aspect effects of any training plan is muscle soreness, tightness, and knots. So sometimes that is a rationale people today do not ever launch a fitness method or they end up quitting because the soreness is uncomfortable. Now there is an instrument that not simply helps undo those knots and set off factors, nevertheless it will aid you transfer much faster, be far more limber and carry out better. Enter the Rumble Roller for getting a therapeutic massage any place. You will want this software for an element of your respective exercise arsenal.
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Therapeutic massage Any place ? Just what is This Rumble Roller Anyways?
The Rumble Roller is actually a foam roller with knobby bumps rather than the easy traditional foam roller. Foam rolling is actually piece from the remedy techniques of physical therapists also as athletes. Consumers utilize the rumble roller to launch individuals knots and induce points from the muscle mass. Individuals are all those things which regularly hold back again customers from remaining more mobile and limber than what they characteristically really should be. It?s like having a masseuse with you to offer you a therapeutic massage everywhere. Except you aren?t paying out therapeutic massage therapist rates!
As a result of the Rumble Roller?s uneven, lifted nodules, it works just like a great tissue massage so you can get even deeper into the muscle tissue than regular rollers do. It is generally known as self-myofascial launch. An extravagant time period for an powerful form of sports massage. When used on a regular basis it may help diminish muscle and joint anguish. This means superior mobility.
The Rumble Roller is a part of the P90X2 fitness system. There?s an amazing exercise in that course known as X2 Recovery and Mobility. Tony Horton, the coach, requires you as a result of utilizing the Rumble Roller every last move with the way. You roll greater than the rumble roller and actually knead the muscle and delicate tissue in your human body in various directions. You launch these ?hot spots? while you go and minimize yourself of these stress creators. That should carry relief to muscle mass suffering and soreness. Which may bring you versatility and considerably better mobility!
Even David Beckham, soccer certified, now spends a lot of his publish exercise with all the Rumble Roller to obtain a massage any where. Based on a Men?s Wellness piece of writing, Beckham focuses on soft-tissue work for five to 10 minutes to obtain a massage wherever by foam rolling to create totally sure he is not stiff or sore the next day. It truly is part of his schedule to try and do a stability of workout with his running, stretching and suppleness routines. It retains him strong all period longer.
Massage Any where ? What exactly is Myofascial Release?
Myofascial release is now extremely well known from the therapeutic arena being an helpful sort of remedy for health care. It is quite protected to undertake when using the Rumble Roller so you can get a massage anywhere by making use of light stress in the myofascial connective tissue. This massage method stretches the fascia and emits its bond with muscle groups and bones to raise variety of motion and harmony your body. That?s why it?s imperative to perform frequently!
Fascia is connective tissue that surrounds muscle tissues, groups of muscle groups, and nerves bind a few of those people constructions together, despite the fact that permitting some others to slide easily about each and every other. Fascia is some type of connective tissue that translates into a seamless website to protect and link muscles, organs, and bones during the body. Anxiety for work out, inflammation, and in some cases inadequate posture produces fascia limits. This restriction results in tightness, knots and very hot places. Myofascial launch basically releases the fascia and restores the tissue back again to health. This assists eliminate ache and restores motion and mobility.
The advantage of using the Rumble Roller for this kind of therapy is the fact you may get it done your self and really don?t will need to pay out the substantial fees of medical professionals and therapists to produce a similar gain.
Therapeutic massage Wherever ? Some great benefits of Myofascial launch
.Pain Management
.Loosens Restricted Muscle tissues and Tissues
.Increase mobility
.Relief for joints
.Reduce Muscle mass Soreness
.Elevate Atmosphere
Therapeutic massage Any place ? My expertise while using the Rumble Roller
To tell you the truth I had been hesitant to have the Rumble Roller. It was among the many opportunities after i bought P90X2. Even now, a specific thing compelled me to acquire this ?foam cactus roller!? Foam rolling is built into all warm up and great down n P90X2, so I obtained to see it most suitable from the gate.
The initial ?hot spot? I came throughout was in my calves and oh my gosh, I sensed it. I wished to quickly gloss greater than the soreness and shift to some much more comfortable spot. Even now, that is going to defeat the purpose of the ?release.? So I stuck it out. At some point the muscle mass or stress would release and sense more desirable. Similar to if you get yourself a massage. It quickly hurts and then it feels better.
What I discovered more than the numerous months is an I grew to become alot more cell and a lot less restricted in my physical exercise. I sensed superior much too.
Once i did the work out application, Tai Cheng, by making use of a Rumble Roller was portion of one?s warm up referred to as Neural Reboot to assist waken the human body and prepare to the exercise session. Utilizing the Rumble Roller assisted with power, balance and suppleness
I still utilize it as the portion of my weekly stretch regime as well as restoration for plans like Les Mills Pump, Insanity, Asylum and naturally P90X.
It is so worth it to get this piece of machines into your workout toolkit. You will discover some several sizes of one?s Rumble Roller and that means you may also travel with it. I imply, you have to possess a therapeutic massage anyplace. Save cash by not having to retain the services of a therapeutic massage therapist!
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Massage Anywhere ? I will coach you!
By purchasing the Rumble Roller here additionally you get another perk! You are likely to get me as your zero cost Group Beachbody Coach. My purpose is always to help you receive success with your well being and exercise! Let us do that jointly to succeed in your goals and objectives.
Remember to get the perfect time to create a comment or request a question below. When you favored this put up, you should reveal this with the family and friends and perhaps click the LIKE button!
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Source: http://freebookfor.com/2012/11/08/therapeutic-massage-wherever-along-with-the-rumble-roller/
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Getting an iPhone in China has always been hard. For most of its life-cycle, the phone has been unavailable in the Mainland except through the grey market. Now that Apple is allowed to sell units in Shenzhen, however, it's gotten amazingly strict on sales per-person.Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/Tk8rlCC6P2o/
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